Excel Iddaa Programi Yapma | 2027 |

This is where the "program" logic lives. Create a second sheet called "Analysis." For each upcoming match, your formulas should calculate:

You repeat this for the away team. The result is a predicted scoreline (e.g., 1.8 vs 1.2). From there, you use a Poisson Distribution formula (=POISSON.DIST) to calculate the exact percentage chance of 0-0, 1-0, 1-1, etc.

Simply:

=J2-H2

This shows, for that single coupon, how much you actually won or lost.

| Problem | Solution | |---------|----------| | Overfitting: Your model works perfectly on past data but fails on new matches. | Reduce the number of input variables. Use only proven metrics (xG, shots on target). | | Ignoring draw probability. | The Poisson method underestimates draws. Add a 5-10% correction factor for leagues with many draws (e.g., 1. Lig). | | Data entry errors. | Use Excel Data Validation (drop-downs for team names) and conditional formatting to flag outliers (e.g., possession > 100%). | | Chasing losses manually. | Build a "cooling-off" formula: If last 5 bets are losses, automatically suggest reducing stake by 50%. | excel iddaa programi yapma

To spot hot streaks or cold spells, use a 5-match moving average.

=AVERAGE(OFFSET(K2,COUNTA(K:K)-5,0,5,1))

This tells you your average profit over the last 5 bets. If it is consistently negative for 10 cycles, stop betting. This is where the "program" logic lives

Draws are the hardest to predict, but they offer high odds (3.00+).

Let’s get technical. Open a blank workbook and follow along. You repeat this for the away team